Microsoft Will Buy Twitter, Adobe to Buy Picnik, and Other Bold Predictions for 2010

Amazon’s purchase of Zappos (Kelman wondered why Amazon would pay as much as $1 billion).

As for cloud computing, Kelman thought Google would have the dominant platform within two years, because the company is built to provide that kind of huge-scale infrastructure. Smith disagreed, saying Google would compete on price, Amazon on features and flexibility, and Microsoft on big enterprises and users of Windows and Microsoft databases. Bryant pointed out that IBM, HP, Apple, and VMware will be catching up quickly. Interestingly, nobody seemed to think Amazon (the current leader) would stay ahead of the pack.

The panelists went back to their startup roots to discuss the best opportunities for tech entrepreneurs. Smith said he’d look to create an online music creation site, like ProTools for consumers. Sack would look at what he calls “PR 2.0” using social media, lead generation, and healthcare. Gottesman would pay attention to location-based entertainment—products that combine virtual reality and mobile. Kelman said he’d buy a newspaper, crowdsource content with the aid of professional writers, and go into each local community or city with $100,000 (good luck). Bryant mentioned augmented reality combined with location-based services.

The startup areas they’re all avoiding? New social networks, iPhone apps (by itself), and video management.

It was particularly telling for our region that none of the panelists even mentioned cleantech (or energy-IT) until Denis Du Bois, from MIT Enterprise Forum Northwest and P5 Group, a marketing firm for sustainable energy, raised the topic. The panel agreed we might all benefit from thinking about how to replace entities like Exxon, the biggest company in the world.

And finally, Andy Sack gave my New England Patriots the kiss of death by predicting they’d win the Super Bowl this season. I probably shouldn’t have even published that.

Author: Gregory T. Huang

Greg is a veteran journalist who has covered a wide range of science, technology, and business. As former editor in chief, he overaw daily news, features, and events across Xconomy's national network. Before joining Xconomy, he was a features editor at New Scientist magazine, where he edited and wrote articles on physics, technology, and neuroscience. Previously he was senior writer at Technology Review, where he reported on emerging technologies, R&D, and advances in computing, robotics, and applied physics. His writing has also appeared in Wired, Nature, and The Atlantic Monthly’s website. He was named a New York Times professional fellow in 2003. Greg is the co-author of Guanxi (Simon & Schuster, 2006), about Microsoft in China and the global competition for talent and technology. Before becoming a journalist, he did research at MIT’s Artificial Intelligence Lab. He has published 20 papers in scientific journals and conferences and spoken on innovation at Adobe, Amazon, eBay, Google, HP, Microsoft, Yahoo, and other organizations. He has a Master’s and Ph.D. in electrical engineering and computer science from MIT, and a B.S. in electrical engineering from the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign.