Picnik Vs. Flickr: A Growth Comparison

Just a quick observation here. Seattle-based Picnik, the popular photo-editing startup, said yesterday it has reached the “1 billion photos edited” mark. Is this a big deal?

Well, if you compare the growth of Picnik to that of arguably the world’s top social storage site for photos, Flickr, it could be a very revealing milestone. For reference, here’s Flickr’s growth chart, in terms of the number of photos uploaded. The site has had three distinct phases of growth: an exponential rise until June 2007 (when it absorbed Yahoo! Photos), followed by two super-fast linear growth stages bringing it to 3 billion photos about a year ago.

In comparison, Picnik’s chart (see below) shows faster growth than Flickr’s, starting from its launch in 2007—if you compare the exponential portions of the curves. Flickr reached 500 million uploads in its first 3.5 years, whereas Picnik has reached 1 billion uploads in three years since January 2007 (these uploads include photos opened from social sites like Flickr and Facebook). It’s the kind of classic hockey-stick growth you’d show to investors—except, oops, Picnik doesn’t have outside investors, it was all self-funded.

Picnik is celebrating by opening its premium service to all users for free for 24 hours starting at 9 am Pacific Time today.

Here’s Picnik’s growth curve:

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Picnik's growth curve

Author: Gregory T. Huang

Greg is a veteran journalist who has covered a wide range of science, technology, and business. As former editor in chief, he overaw daily news, features, and events across Xconomy's national network. Before joining Xconomy, he was a features editor at New Scientist magazine, where he edited and wrote articles on physics, technology, and neuroscience. Previously he was senior writer at Technology Review, where he reported on emerging technologies, R&D, and advances in computing, robotics, and applied physics. His writing has also appeared in Wired, Nature, and The Atlantic Monthly’s website. He was named a New York Times professional fellow in 2003. Greg is the co-author of Guanxi (Simon & Schuster, 2006), about Microsoft in China and the global competition for talent and technology. Before becoming a journalist, he did research at MIT’s Artificial Intelligence Lab. He has published 20 papers in scientific journals and conferences and spoken on innovation at Adobe, Amazon, eBay, Google, HP, Microsoft, Yahoo, and other organizations. He has a Master’s and Ph.D. in electrical engineering and computer science from MIT, and a B.S. in electrical engineering from the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign.