2012 Venture Outlook: Some Bright Spots and Some Gloom

a disproportionate amount of the $18 billion raised from limited partners last year. Heesen interprets this as another indication of industry contraction, and predicts VC firms will continue to shed partners, stop making new investments, or close their doors altogether.

—Corporate venture capital is increasing. Many big U.S. companies are seeking guidance from the NVCA in establishing corporate venture funds. “If there is one area where you’re seeing a lot of activity, it is in corporate venture capital,” Heesen says. While most people know that Intel operates the largest corporate venture fund in the U.S., Heesen says few people realize that Qualcomm’s is the second-biggest.

—Cleantech has become a major category for venture funding over the past decade, increasing from a total of $300 million—or less than 1 percent of all venture capital investments in 2001—to $4.3 billion—or 15 percent of the total invested in 2011.

—The drop in first-funding deals in life sciences startups is alarming. First-funding deals (typically Series A round) in life sciences companies dropped to 153 deals in 2011—a nearly 43 percent decline from the 268 first funding deals in 2006. “We’re hearing a lot of concern from VCs about the FDA time-to-market approval,” Heesen says. “And we’re hearing a lot from the limited partners about length of time it takes for them to see a return on their investment.”

—IPOs remain well below what’s needed for capital turnover, Heesen says. In 2011, 52 venture-backed IPOs raised almost $9.9 billion. IPO activity hit a wall in mid-August, suffering from the combined effects of the Congressional deadlock over the federal budget, Europe’s economic woes, and worries over the political revolution in Libya. At the end of 2011, 60 U.S. companies were in registration and waiting to go public.

—The IPO bottleneck has led to a record number of acquisitions over the past two years, with 429 M&As in 2011 and 436 in 2010.

—Heeseen says he expects venture capital deals are continuing to cluster along the East and West coasts, with a hole expanding in the Central U.S., where it is becoming increasingly difficult for technology and life sciences startups to attract VC investors. California, especially Northern California, will continue to attract the biggest chunk of venture money, he predicts.

Author: Bruce V. Bigelow

In Memoriam: Our dear friend Bruce V. Bigelow passed away on June 29, 2018. He was the editor of Xconomy San Diego from 2008 to 2018. Read more about his life and work here. Bruce Bigelow joined Xconomy from the business desk of the San Diego Union-Tribune. He was a member of the team of reporters who were awarded the 2006 Pulitzer Prize in National Reporting for uncovering bribes paid to San Diego Republican Rep. Randy “Duke” Cunningham in exchange for special legislation earmarks. He also shared a 2006 award for enterprise reporting from the Society of Business Editors and Writers for “In Harm’s Way,” an article about the extraordinary casualty rate among employees working in Iraq for San Diego’s Titan Corp. He has written extensively about the 2002 corporate accounting scandal at software goliath Peregrine Systems. He also was a Gerald Loeb Award finalist and National Headline Award winner for “The Toymaker,” a 14-part chronicle of a San Diego start-up company. He takes special satisfaction, though, that the series was included in the library for nonfiction narrative journalism at the Nieman Foundation for Journalism at Harvard University. Bigelow graduated from U.C. Berkeley in 1977 with a degree in English Literature and from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism in 1979. Before joining the Union-Tribune in 1990, he worked for the Associated Press in Los Angeles and The Kansas City Times.