Do You Need an Extended Warranty? Do the Math, Says SquareTrade

Do You Need an Extended Warranty? Do the Math, Says SquareTrade. A VOX column by Wade Roush

trust, safety, and problem-solving were at a premium. “We came upon the warranty industry, an enormous industry that is fundamentally not consumer-centric,” he says.

Over the last seven years, SquareTrade’s strategy for reinventing itself and disrupting the warranty industry has been two-pronged. First, it decided to offer warranties at lower prices. A typical SquareTrade protection plan amounts to roughly 15 percent of the unsubsidized cost of the covered item. A two-year iPhone plan, for example, goes for $99, which is about 12 percent of the $850 price tag on an unsubsidized iPhone 5 (the price you’d have to pay out of pocket if you had to replace the phone and you weren’t yet eligible for a new one under your mobile contract).

“We have been a major force in lowering the price of warranties,” Abernethy says. And in fact, data from 2006 shows it wasn’t unusual for retailers to peg two-year warranties at 16 to 19 percent of the sticker price for an item like a camera or a TV.

Abernethy says SquareTrade is able to charge less because of its automated claims processing, the efficiency of its logistical operations, and the economies of scale it can obtain on repairs and replacement items. The company has a warehouse full of new phones and tablets ready to be rushed to customers.

The second part of SquareTrade’s strategy addresses the transparency issue. The company brands itself prominently in stores and on e-retail sites, so potential customers know who they’re buying protection from. There’s no point-of-sale pressure; gadget buyers have 30 days after the original purchase to research warranty plans and make a decision.

For policyholders, the company tries to take the stress out of filing a claim. SquareTrade warranties are saved online, so the customer never has to dig up paperwork (which may be lost, or hard to find) to file a claim. And they don’t have to call an 800 number or haggle with an agent to get a claim moving—they can do everything online.

“We said, ‘Let’s use technology to remove the cost of servicing claims and make a better claims experience,’” Abernethy says. “The ATM has transformed getting cash out of a bank. Why should you need to talk to a person to fix your cracked tablet?”

Finally, to make sure no one is left holding the bag, SquareTrade introduced a five-day service guarantee. The company promises to either fix an item and ship it back within five days of receiving it, or reimburse the customer for the item’s purchase price. If one of those two things doesn’t happen in five days, SquareTrade refunds the warranty price.

It all sounds great. And it seems to be working. Consumers give SquareTrade largely positive reviews on retailer sites and Facebook, and the company says its sales tripled in 2011 and nearly doubled again in 2012, although it doesn’t provide absolute numbers. To position itself for even faster growth, it raised a whopping $238 million in new funding from Bain Capital in early 2012, and moved into swanky new offices in downtown San Francisco.

But even if you take everything Abernethy says at face value, there’s still the big question: is an extended warranty worth the price?

Unfortunately, there’s no objective way to answer that—just as there’s no verifiable way to say that the $300 you spent on travel insurance for your last vacation was wasted just because you didn’t get sick or your cruise line didn’t go bankrupt. An extended warranty is a form of insurance, and like all insurance, it’s partly about peace of mind.

But SquareTrade clearly picked a good time to get out of dispute resolution and move into electronics warranties in 2006. That was the cusp of the mobile-computing explosion. Now millions of people have a high-value gadget on their person at all times. “A smartphone or a tablet is fundamentally a portable piece of very expensive glass,” says Abernethy. “A lot of people might say, ‘I don’t think my TV will ever fail.’ But even the most cynical people drop their tablets.”

Abernethy says SquareTrade’s data shows that if you own a smartphone for three years, there’s a 1-in-3 chance that it will be damaged in a fall or a liquid spill—“unless you carry it inside a rubber ball, and you don’t drink coffee, and you live in a hermetically sealed environment.”

In the mobile age, Consumer Reports’ advice about extended warranties is “just inaccurate,” Abernethy argues. That organization’s distaste for extended warranties is based partly on the fact that many consumer appliances are more reliable these days, and less likely to suffer component failures during the warranty period. But a $7,500 Sub-Zero refrigerator is unlikely to fall out of your pocket. “Drops and spills just completely blow that logic out the door,” Abernethy says.

SquareTrade has found that the risk of a crippling drop or spill is even higher for certain groups—including, for obvious reasons, people who ride motorcycles, belong to big households, or live in homes with hardwood floors. (There are a few other risk factors that are a little harder to explain, including having a tattoo, trading stocks frequently, or having sex more than twice a week.)

So the question of whether to buy a warranty with your new gadget, Abernethy says, boils down to whether you think you can defy the odds—and whether you can afford to buy a new phone if you’re one of the unlucky ones. It’s basically a question of risk and severity: even a low-risk event may be worth insuring against, if the cost of the event is too high to bear. (Of course, one alternative to paying out-of-pocket for a new phone is to send your broken one to a repair company like iCracked, but that might not be much cheaper than just buying a warranty.)

“Fundamentally, our goal is that [extended warranties] should make sense economically,” Abernethy says. “If you crack or submerge an iPhone you are basically out a $700 item. So the math actually does make sense.”

To many people, anyway. Personally, I’m too much of a tightwad to pay for extended warranties, and I justify that decision by telling myself I’m more careful with my gadgets than the average person.

There’s no guarantee, of course, that I won’t end up like my brother, who had to buy a new logic board for his MacBook Pro after his young son puked all over the keyboard. (Now they call it the BarfBook.) But I’ve been lucky so far—knock aluminum.

Author: Wade Roush

Between 2007 and 2014, I was a staff editor for Xconomy in Boston and San Francisco. Since 2008 I've been writing a weekly opinion/review column called VOX: The Voice of Xperience. (From 2008 to 2013 the column was known as World Wide Wade.) I've been writing about science and technology professionally since 1994. Before joining Xconomy in 2007, I was a staff member at MIT’s Technology Review from 2001 to 2006, serving as senior editor, San Francisco bureau chief, and executive editor of TechnologyReview.com. Before that, I was the Boston bureau reporter for Science, managing editor of supercomputing publications at NASA Ames Research Center, and Web editor at e-book pioneer NuvoMedia. I have a B.A. in the history of science from Harvard College and a PhD in the history and social study of science and technology from MIT. I've published articles in Science, Technology Review, IEEE Spectrum, Encyclopaedia Brittanica, Technology and Culture, Alaska Airlines Magazine, and World Business, and I've been a guest of NPR, CNN, CNBC, NECN, WGBH and the PBS NewsHour. I'm a frequent conference participant and enjoy opportunities to moderate panel discussions and on-stage chats. My personal site: waderoush.com My social media coordinates: Twitter: @wroush Facebook: facebook.com/wade.roush LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/waderoush Google+ : google.com/+WadeRoush YouTube: youtube.com/wroush1967 Flickr: flickr.com/photos/wroush/ Pinterest: pinterest.com/waderoush/