The Big Value Creation Trend of 2015: Q&A with Jonathan Medved

OurCrowd chart on pre- and post-IPO value creationations

invest through OurCrowd in private tech companies. During a call from OurCrowd headquarters in Jeruselem, Medved talked about his perspective on markets, unicorns, tech funding trends, and crowd-funding. The following is a transcript of our conversation, edited for style and length.

Xconomy: Let’s start with that slide. What does it tell you about tech funding in general?

Jon Medved: The bottom line on this slide, and the point I was making, is that people who buy stocks have been aware that there is this adjacent area of private company investing that exists a little bit out of sight, out of touch, out of reach. You sort of figured, OK that’s either for really rich people or people who are really well-connected, and I can’t play there. That was OK as long as you could make, you know, studly returns in the public market. It’s not OK anymore.

What’s happening is that you’re starting to see a bunch of different things all at once. At the top of the market are signs of this, call it an Uber bull market. You’ve got people coming in and buying the big private [companies] as if they were public.

Jonathan Medved (OurCrowd photo by Prescott Watson)
Jonathan Medved (OurCrowd photo by Prescott Watson)

People are saying, “Well how can I get a shot at getting into this when it’s [valued] at $20 or $30 million? As opposed to $20 or $30 billion.”

My sense is that we’re on the cusp of a sort of societal change, where this private investing once was really the province of a very small group of people. I mean, how many Americans buy stocks and bonds? It’s like 50 million or 100 million, some crazy number. What’s the number of people who have invested certainly in tech startup companies? It would be like 100,000.

It’s not going to be that way any more. Whether it’s going to change because of crowd-funding or different kinds of regulatory regimes, we’re going to move over the next 10 years to a situation where, when guys get around to talk about stocks, they will talk about stocks and their private company investments interchangeably. That’s the change that’s going to happen over the next 10 years in my opinion.

[Private tech investment] is going to become a more broadly held asset class. And I think this is great. It’s great for people’s checkbooks and bank accounts, and it’s good for tech companies. It’s going to bring new money into the innovation market.

I guess it boils down to whether you think tech is played [out]. I think it’s so not played. We’re in very early days of a very long-term story. If you think we’ve seen it all, we’ve seen nothing. We’ve really seen very little.

X: What’s your take on the stock market in general? Is it over-valued? Are we in a bubble? Or is the bubble confined to Silicon Valley companies?

JM: There’s a lot of froth in parts of Silicon Valley. OK? It would be hard to deny that. On the other hand, I think

Author: Bruce V. Bigelow

In Memoriam: Our dear friend Bruce V. Bigelow passed away on June 29, 2018. He was the editor of Xconomy San Diego from 2008 to 2018. Read more about his life and work here. Bruce Bigelow joined Xconomy from the business desk of the San Diego Union-Tribune. He was a member of the team of reporters who were awarded the 2006 Pulitzer Prize in National Reporting for uncovering bribes paid to San Diego Republican Rep. Randy “Duke” Cunningham in exchange for special legislation earmarks. He also shared a 2006 award for enterprise reporting from the Society of Business Editors and Writers for “In Harm’s Way,” an article about the extraordinary casualty rate among employees working in Iraq for San Diego’s Titan Corp. He has written extensively about the 2002 corporate accounting scandal at software goliath Peregrine Systems. He also was a Gerald Loeb Award finalist and National Headline Award winner for “The Toymaker,” a 14-part chronicle of a San Diego start-up company. He takes special satisfaction, though, that the series was included in the library for nonfiction narrative journalism at the Nieman Foundation for Journalism at Harvard University. Bigelow graduated from U.C. Berkeley in 1977 with a degree in English Literature and from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism in 1979. Before joining the Union-Tribune in 1990, he worked for the Associated Press in Los Angeles and The Kansas City Times.