New Study: DNA Tests For Healthy People Have “Uncertain Value”

Genome sequencing is becoming more common for people diagnosed with cancer. Should it become part of a healthy person’s checkup, too?

A new study published Monday in the Annals of Internal Medicine questions the practicality of making DNA tests standard for people who don’t have a cancer diagnosis or aren’t trying to identify a mysterious disease. While close examination of a person’s DNA might help spot disease early or prevent it altogether, it also might spur “unnecessary costly follow-up,” the authors write.

The study is limited by its small scope, but it is the first with some rigor to examine outcomes when healthy people and their primary care doctors make decisions partly based on a whole genome analysis— that is, a report that shows which of the 6 billion letters in a person’s DNA differ from what might be considered a normal or representative genome (a concept that itself presents problems).

The study is part of the MedSeq Project and comes at a time when the cost of sequencing a person’s entire DNA is about $1,000. The lure of knowing one’s DNA is already big business for ancestry services. Genomics pioneers J. Craig Venter and Leroy “Lee” Hood and others have started businesses to woo customers with health workups that deploy a smorgasbord of tests, include a whole genomic analysis.

Venter’s Human Longevity has begun offering whole genome sequencing to customers and others affiliated with a major life insurance company, which says the tests can “help you and your physician understand your personal risk for disease and how you may respond, or not, to certain medications.”

A private clinic in San Diego, Health Nucleus, which is part of Human Longevity, charges clients $25,000 for a full health workup. Venter said in December that his own tests there caught a previously undetected prostate cancer.

For-profit Arivale spun out of a long-term health project at Lee Hood’s Institute for Systems Biology in Seattle. It provides a battery of tests, as well. Individuals can pay $3,500, and Arivale is working to sign up employees through their employers. It’s aiming for 5,000 customers by the end of the year. Arivale coaches help people interpret their data and, as CEO Clayton Lewis says, their “genetic predisposition”—such as the likelihood of tipping from prediabetes into diabetes. Arivale coaches cannot diagnose disease, says Lewis, but they can lean on scientific evidence to discuss associations between what Lewis calls “lifestyle factors and the potential risk of developing” a disease like diabetes.

While those sequencing healthy people have to skirt around medical claims, the MedSeq study is focusing on medical decisions based strictly on two data sets: Whole genome analysis and a family history report. It randomly shuffled 100 people into two groups: Those who provided their primary doctors with family history, and those who supplemented the family report with an analysis of their whole genome.

The authors, from Harvard University-affiliated Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, Baylor College of Medicine in Houston, and elsewhere, concede that they can only draw limited conclusions because of a small sample size: 50 people were sequenced. But they saw enough in the results to warn about the risk of DNA analysis leading to more medical procedures “of unclear value.”

Eleven of those 50 produced a genetic variant thought to be linked to a disease. But only two of those 11 actually showed outward signs of that disease. One patient had fundus albipunctatus, which impairs vision in low light. The other had variegate porphyria, which causes skin conditions and can also affect digestion and mood. The other nine had no outward signs of the predicted disease, at least within six months of their consultations. Two, for example, had genetic profiles suggesting heart problems, but those problems were not evident after a cardiology exam.

It’s possible that some of the patients could show symptoms later in life, but they were all in their 50s or 60s, says MedSeq author Jason Vassy of Brigham and Women’s Hospital. “We would expect that many of these conditions would have already shown up by now,” he says.

While the participants’ genomic reports often didn’t correlate to other symptoms, the reports seemed to influence doctors’ decisions. MedSeq authors found that primary doctors were more than twice as likely to recommend “new clinical actions” for patients with a family history report and a DNA report (34 percent) than for those who simply presented a family history (16 percent). Those prescriptions led to higher costs. The 11 patients whose sequences detected a potential disease-causing variant averaged $2,526 in costs in the six months after talking with their doctors; the other 39 who were sequenced averaged $1,198.

That said, the small study gave fairly high marks to decisions made by the medical providers. An outside panel reviewed the 11 cases and found eight were managed appropriately. The study also noted that patients’ access to their own genetic data

Author: Alex Lash

I've spent nearly all my working life as a journalist. I covered the rise and fall of the dot-com era in the second half of the 1990s, then switched to life sciences in the new millennium. I've written about the strategy, financing and scientific breakthroughs of biotech for The Deal, Elsevier's Start-Up, In Vivo and The Pink Sheet, and Xconomy.